Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.048972 0.053158 0.057390 0.061982 0.066816 0.071747 0.077152
2025-07-13 0.041864 0.047972 0.054365 0.061528 0.069305 0.077467 0.086657
2025-07-20 0.036866 0.044345 0.052416 0.061713 0.072068 0.083190 0.095982
2025-07-27 0.033401 0.041963 0.051456 0.062653 0.075395 0.089344 0.105666
2025-08-03 0.030920 0.040398 0.051162 0.064124 0.079147 0.095855 0.115687
2025-08-10 0.026835 0.036607 0.047997 0.062017 0.078580 0.097304 0.119850
2025-08-17 0.024163 0.034278 0.046347 0.061493 0.079682 0.100530 0.125937
2025-08-24 0.021816 0.032159 0.044783 0.060918 0.080594 0.103435 0.131578
2025-08-31 0.020839 0.031687 0.045168 0.062647 0.084217 0.109503 0.140916
2025-09-07 0.019713 0.030928 0.045119 0.063781 0.087078 0.114645 0.149164
2025-09-14 0.018522 0.029994 0.044774 0.064483 0.089366 0.119077 0.156564
2025-09-21 0.017217 0.028812 0.044033 0.064619 0.090903 0.122570 0.162824
2025-09-28 0.016637 0.028630 0.044620 0.066500 0.094696 0.128913 0.172672
2025-10-05 0.015199 0.027142 0.043395 0.065974 0.095417 0.131478 0.177946
2025-10-12 0.014130 0.026115 0.042736 0.066145 0.096992 0.135083 0.184493
2025-10-19 0.013422 0.025573 0.042705 0.067118 0.099581 0.139945 0.192598
2025-10-26 0.012950 0.025355 0.043101 0.068654 0.102897 0.145731 0.201873
2025-11-02 0.011364 0.023302 0.040806 0.066444 0.101244 0.145196 0.203249
2025-11-09 0.010396 0.022159 0.039758 0.065894 0.101735 0.147349 0.207964
2025-11-16 0.009492 0.021052 0.038707 0.065291 0.102115 0.149334 0.212454
2025-11-23 0.009286 0.021099 0.039367 0.067102 0.105751 0.155527 0.222297
2025-11-30 0.008933 0.020872 0.039596 0.068289 0.108542 0.160638 0.230787
2025-12-07 0.008493 0.020460 0.039521 0.069025 0.110711 0.164944 0.238268